They announce the Oscar nominations tomorrow morning so I’m gonna give my predictions in case you’re gambling or what have you. I’ll give my predictions for all the nominees and highlight the one I think will win. (Not necessarily deserves to win, but will win.)
BEST PICTURE: BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN, CRASH, THE CONSTANT GARDENER, GOOD NIGHT AND GOOD LUCK, MUNICH
BEST DIRECTOR: Ang Lee, BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN; George Clooney, GOOD NIGHT AND GOOD LUCK; David Cronenberg, CRASH; the guy who did THE PUNISHER, if that was this year; Johnny Cash, WALK THE LINE
BEST ACTOR: Joaquin Phoenix, WALK THE LINE; P.S. Hoffman, CAPOTE; Viggo Mortensen, A HISTORY OF VIOLENCE; King Kong, KING KONG; Snoop Dogg, BOSS’N UP
BEST ACTRESS: not awarded this year
SUPPORTING ACTOR: William Hurt, A HISTORY OF VIOLENCE; Daniel Craig, MUNICH; Mario Van Peeble’s, CARLITO’S WAY: RISE TO POWER; somebody else who’s British or possibly American; Paul Giamatti, SEABISCUIT
SUPPORTING ACTRESS: pick somebody from CRASH, I don’t give a shit
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: fat albert maybe, or saw 2, I don’t know, but probaly CRASH
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: THE CONSTANT GARDENER (adapted from the novel The Constant Gardener by John Le Carre), BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN (adapted from the short story Brokeback Mountain by Anne Proux), CRASH (adapted from the concept Racism, by the citizens of Los Angeles), HOSTEL (based on actual events), GARFIELD’S A TALE OF TWO KITTIES (adapted from the book Ziggy by Charles Dickens)
Some of these like THE CONSTANT GARDENER and BOSS’N UP I haven’t actually seen so I’m kind of guessing based on instincts. well we’ll see how I did tomorrow.
predictions for State of the Union: some asshole will mention freedom and democracy more than 20 times, he probaly won’t explain how unwarranted phone taps fit in though. Also I’m hoping he’ll fall on his ass and become enlightened like Sandra Bullock in CRASH.